It has been a while since I last delved into one of my favorite topics: global demographics. In this piece, I revisit the subject by examining high-level data on key global demographic indicators from the UN’s July 2024 Population Prospects database. I will begin with birth rates.
Scarcely a day goes by without an article, podcast, or both highlighting the accelerating decline in global fertility. As I explain in my essay on the fertility wars, this discussion tends to divide interlocutors into two increasingly polarized factions. On one side are those who believe falling fertility is a grave problem; on the other are those who remain more sanguine, viewing declining birth rates as a natural consequence of modernity—or perhaps postmodernism—and less of a threat to economic growth, government budgets, or humanity’s survival. If women choose to have fewer children and prioritize careers and personal freedom—long the exclusive domain of men—shouldn’t we support that choice?
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